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J Sustain Res. 2019;1:e190017. https://doi.org/10.20900/jsr20190017

Article

A Cross-Country Comparison of Sustainable Energy Development in Selected EU Members

Claudia Kettner 1, Daniela Kletzan-Slamanig 1,* , Angela Köppl 1, Beate Littig 2, Irina Zielinska 2

1 Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO), Arsenal Objekt 20, 1030 Vienna, Austria

2 Institute for Advanced Studies (IHS), Josefstädter Str. 39, 1080 Vienna, Austria

* Correspondence: Daniela Kletzan-Slamanig, Tel.: +43-1-798-26-01-274.

Received: 09 May 2019; Accepted: 24 September 2019; Published: 10 October 2019

This article belongs to the Virtual Special Issue "The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): Underpinning and Contributing to Sustainability Research"

ABSTRACT

Two major international frameworks provide landmarks for future development paths: the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Climate Agreement. Monitoring the progress towards achieving the individual goals must take into account a multitude of synergies and trade-offs. In this paper we use composite indices to analyze climate and energy policies in selected EU member countries. These results show that, in general, the improvements regarding energy efficiency, emissions and deployment of renewables have been moderate in the period under observation (2005–2015). This hints at the time needed for restructuring to take place, which underlines the importance of credible political commitments to climate targets, the implementation of ambitious instruments and the need for stability in the guiding frameworks to effectuate substantial changes. In addition, the analysis of the selected countries shows that they are characterized by very specific energy systems (complemented by specific social structures), and this determines the challenges that each country must overcome on the way to decarbonization and sustainable development. While the SDGs are to be implemented on a global scale, it is necessary to adapt them to the characteristics of a given country or region. Reliable and long-term quantitative data that is comparable across countries or regions and that takes into account the social dimension is required to be able to monitor the overall progress of SGD implementation.

KEYWORDS: sustainable development; composite indices; energy policy; climate policy; cross-country comparison; EU Member States

INTRODUCTION

In 2015, two major international agreements were reached that provide landmarks for the development paths that countries should follow until 2030 or 2050: the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Climate Agreement. Both sets of (long-term) targets require a fundamental restructuring of economies and societies.

The SDGs were devised as “a universal agenda of sustainable development, calling on all nations to pursue a holistic strategy that combines economic development, social inclusion and environmental sustainability” [1]. The resolution “Transforming our world: the Agenda 2030 for Sustainable Development” [2], which was adopted by the General Assembly of the United Nations on 21 October 2015 and which served as a reference for the Paris Climate Summit, has provided the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) as a strategy that on the one hand systematically links climate with well-being, environmental goals, and social policy, and on the other hand provides a practice-oriented differentiation into a complex set of sub-goals and the determination of relevant indicators to keep track of their status.

The complexity and ambition of these goals pose a challenge to research and policy analysis as well as to policy-making and implementation. In addition to monitoring the progress toward achieving the individual goals, a multitude of synergies and trade-offs must be considered. In many cases there will be synergies and co-benefits for other targets if one is achieved [3,4]. However, especially when there is no integrated view on the whole set of targets, unintended adverse side-effects (e.g., lock-ins) might occur. Extended information and measurement systems are called for to structure the high degree of complexity implicated by the multidimensionality of sustainable development (for further discussion of fundamental controversies related to the conception, as well as to the practical and political implementation of sustainability issues, see Littig and Griessler [5]) and to highlight the interdependencies between various issues.

In this paper we use a set of indices that represent two SDGs to analyze climate and energy policies for selected European countries. Each composite index is based on a multitude of indicators covering the three dimensions of sustainable development. We put energy services instead of energy flows at the center of our approach, as these are the relevant determinants for well-being [6–12]. Based on a comprehensive view of the energy system, we calculate composite indices considering five sectors: households, manufacturing, services, transport, and electricity and heat supply. This approach allows us to carry out cross-country comparisons of energy sustainability combining the economic, environmental and social dimensions of sustainability with a sectoral perspective. Nine countries are selected and compared with regard to their status of sustainable energy development. In addition, their development over time is assessed and the specific drivers are discussed.

The paper is structured as follows: The second section describes the context of the SDGs and our approach to developing climate and energy policy indicators. The third section presents the methodological approach used to calculate the composite indices and select countries. After this, the results of the cross-country comparison based on the composite indices are presented and discussed. The paper ends with conclusions in the final section. Additionally, in order to embed the results that were gained through the composite indices for sustainable energy development in a wider context, data and exemplary details of the energy and climate policy background for selected countries—Denmark, Sweden, France and Poland—are presented in the Appendices.

CLIMATE AND ENERGY POLICY INDICATORS IN THE CONTEXT OF THE UN SDGS

Assessing the SDGs is a challenging and not well-defined task, as is documented by the emerging literature. Different scientific approaches and exploratory studies acknowledge the lack of broadly agreed measurement concepts [13]. In the literature, different perspectives on the SDGs are taken: in terms of geographical coverage they range from global or multi-country assessments [14,15] to regional or local perspectives [16–19]. Furthermore, different aspects are captured, e.g., focusing on specific goals [20–23] or discussing the usefulness and shortcomings of specific indicators in the context of the SDGs [13,24].

Another strand of research focuses on the manifold interactions between the 17 SDGs and different sub-targets [4,25–32]. Taking into account the interdependencies is highly relevant, as omitting synergies and trade-offs from the assessment and planning processes related to reaching individual SDGs bears the risk of sub-optimal or even perverse outcomes. This not only applies to the total set of SDGs but also to the sub-set of energy and climate policy indicators described below, as can be illustrated by the example of policies for reducing energy expenditures of poor households (thus contributing to improvements in the social dimension/SDG 10) that subsequently might increase energy demand and in turn emissions (with negative effects on the environmental dimension/SDG 13), if not properly designed.

The socio-ecological framework proposed here aims at capturing the complexity of the SDGs in a coherent conceptual framework with a focus on wellbeing and embedding the energy system in this broader context. The indicators used for calculating the composite indices in this paper therefore focus specifically on two goals—“Affordable and clean energy” (SDG 7) and “Climate Action” (SDG 13)—and comprise operational indicators that emphasize the role of energy services instead of energy flows in generating well-being. The conceptual starting point is energy services in four demand-side sectors (residential buildings, transport, manufacturing and services). In addition, consistent indicators for sustainable electricity and heat supply are included.

Figure 1A,B illustrates the socio-ecological concept to which our research is related. Similar to other research that uses a “doughnut” visualization [4,33] (for an overview of these approaches see Breuer [30]), we assign the SDGs to three layers: wellbeing, governance and planetary boundaries. This illustration (Figure 2A) represents the space in which sustainable development can be achieved, in the sense that social goals are met while the integrity of ecosystems is simultaneously preserved. According to our representation [34], ten SDGs are attributed to the layer of well-being. These are embedded in governance structures (including three SDGs) that constitute the supporting framework for well-being. The outermost layer comprises the planetary boundaries representing the bio-physical base as well as the natural limits for all societal processes.

Figure 2B illustrates how the energy system approach of our indicator set relates to this socio-ecological framework and the SDGs. While the issues of energy and climate change pertain to the layer of “planetary boundaries”, the energy services that we focus on are a fundamental aspect of “well-being”. The generation of energy services by combining different capital stocks and energy flows is essential for economic and social development. The quantity of energy services required is determined by economic activity, income and individual preferences (for a description on this approach see Köppl et al. [11]). The energy demand for providing energy services depends on the application and transformation technologies used. In buildings, for example, the energy required to deliver comfortable room temperature depends on the thermal quality of the building as well as the heating system.

FIGURE 1
Figure 1. Socio-ecological context. Reproduced with permission from [34], copyright @ 2018 Austrian Institute of Economic Research.

METHOD AND DATA

Starting from the energy service perspective on the energy system as described above, we calculate two sets of composite indices that illustrate the sustainability of energy use and supply and allow for cross-country comparisons of energy or climate policy. The comparison or evaluation of a multitude of different indicators (as are included in our analysis) would be an overly complex task. An overall conclusion about energy sustainability and climate protection is more easily reached by focusing on one global figure describing the relevant development (comparable to the role attributed to GDP for assessing economic development).

Composite indices reduce complexity and provide useful instruments for policy monitoring, decision-making and communication with the public. Through the aggregation of single indicators to composite indices, information about specific details (e.g., sectoral developments), however, can be lost [35,36]. A composite index must therefore be regarded as a complement for the set of detailed indicators related to energy sustainability.

Special attention was devoted to including the social dimension of sustainable energy development in a more comprehensive way. There are several challenges that specifically arise when accounting for social aspects, including the “measurement problems” in the social sciences, i.e., the difficulty of reproducing theoretical constructs exactly and uniformly, such as “peace”, “democracy” or “gender equality” because these constructs depend on the subjective perception of the individual, various characteristics are regarded as essential and they often depend on contexts [37]. No matter how precisely one formulates an indicator, it will never be able to exactly measure such vague and subjectively interpreted objects. The solution, then, as Meyer [38] argues, is not to create “better” indicators, but first and foremost to achieve “compromises that are commonly acceptable” on the level of theoretical constructs. As early as 2005 Littig and Griessler [39] identified shortcomings in the use of social sustainability indicators, including the absence of a clear theoretical concept of social sustainability, meaning abundance of diverging definitions of social sustainability (“social standards, institutional sustainability, democratic rights”) as well as often unclear connections between the social, ecological and economic dimension and the lack of a proper integration of the three pillars of sustainability instead of separating them without transparent justification. The authors pointed out the need to integrate social sustainability indicators into policy-making in order to provide monitoring of relevant policies and to accompany them with evaluation and advice to ensure intended impacts of the political measures [39].

Following the considerations about which information would be useful to include in the indicator set, adjustments had to be made due to a lack of (1) time series data (e.g., for temporary contracts); (2) allocation of indicators to particular economic sectors (e.g., involuntary temporary employment, atypical working hours, continuing vocational training); and (3) internationally comparable data for all European countries (e.g., collective pay agreement, mobility data)—Despite the fact that gender matters regarding climate change and related policies and jobs, little attention is dedicated to these issues. Empirical research and data on gender inequalities are rare [40]. Further adaptations were required because a series of available indicators—collected for instance by the UN Statistics Division and Eurostat—are qualitative rather than quantitative. These indicators either depict attitudes (e.g., job satisfaction, work under pressure, job autonomy (possibility to influence content and order of tasks)) or survey qualitative characteristics about activities that are highly contingent and therefore impossible to interpret properly outside the specific context (such as time budgets, time use and satisfaction). For example, the United Nations Statistics Division provides time-use data, pointing out their importance: “They [time-use statistics] offer a unique tool for exploring a wide range of policy concerns including assessing quality of life or general well-being, analyzing division of labor between women and men, improving estimates of all forms of work (paid and unpaid) and estimating household production and its contribution to GDP” [41]. Statistics Austria’s “Time use survey 2008/09” provides data about time distribution of different groups in society on different activities per day. The micro data was collected from around 8200 individuals aged 10 and over, via a daily diary for all activities lasting longer than 15 minutes, e.g., occupational activities, education, social contacts, gender specific division of housework, childcare, “real leisure time” in contrast to time for paid and unpaid work on the one hand and “spare time” used for sleeping, eating or personal care on the other [42].

They are not quantitative, as is generally the case with the economic or environmental indicators. Therefore, the subsequent reduction to a few key indicators, in addition to providing for the necessary focus on social issues, also inevitably generates gaps.

Method

The methodology for the calculation of the base sustainable energy index, which is based on a small number of indicators with comparably good data availability (see below), follows Davidsdottir et al. [43], Ibarran Vienniegra et al. [44] and Kettner et al. [43–45]. The composite index is either structured by sector or by dimension of sustainable development; in the former case, it is based on five sub-indices, one for each sector (transport, residential buildings, manufacturing, services, electricity and heat supply); in the latter case, it is based on three sub-indices:, one for the environmental dimension, one for the economic dimension and one for the social dimension. The sub-indices are calculated based on a distance to reference country approach according to the following equation:

where IBk,i,t gives the sub-index of sector i in country k in year t, j is the energy indicator, n is the number of indicators, wj is the weight for each indicator, Ek,i,j,t is the value of the energy indicator in year t and r is the reference country. This means that each sub-index is the weighted sum of the change in the indicators compared to an assumed base year. The aggregate index is calculated as the weighted sum of the sub-indices. The indicators used to compute the index were normalized with the figures for Austria in 2010 to equal 100 to allow for a cross-country comparison.

Especially regarding the social dimension, relevant data are rarely available for multiple countries or as time series. Therefore, we chose to provide an extended composite index that includes additional (social) indicators but does not require the availability of data as a time series while performing a cross-country comparison based on the latest available year. While we could have also opted for a distance to reference country approach in calculating the extended composite index, we use the Min-Max methodology described by the following equation

with the aggregate index being again calculated as the weighted sum of the sub-indices. This approach is frequently used for calculating composite indices in the context of the measurement of well-being and sustainable development, for instance for the Human Development Index or the OECD Better Life Index. The values of the extended composite index will hence range between 0 (the worst performing country with respect to all indicators included) and 1 (the best performing country).

For the base composite indices, we selected 30 indicators (see Appendix B) that are shown in black in Table 1. 14 indicators can be assigned to the environmental dimension, 13 to the economic dimension and 3 to the social dimension. In terms of sectoral disaggregation, 10 indicators pertain to the household sector, 7 to the transport sector, 4 each to the industry and service sector and 5 to electricity and heat supply.

The extended version of the index—accounting particularly for data gaps regarding the social dimension—was calculated including additional indicators that are only available for single years (in total, 42 indicators). These indicators are displayed in grey in Table 1. For this extended index, 13 indicators can be assigned to the residential sector, 12 to transport and 9 to electricity and heat supply; for industry and services again the same 4 indicators were used.

The indicators for the composite index were selected to provide information on the different levels of the energy system as illustrated in Figure 1B and on all dimensions of sustainable energy development. While we stress the importance of energy services, we do not include proxies for measuring energy service demand in the composite index. The rationale for that is that the proxies (e.g., passenger kilometers (pkm) and tonne kilometers (tkm) for mobility as a proxy for the energy service mobility) cannot be interpreted in an unambiguous way (e.g., an improvement in energy efficiency will always be beneficial for sustainability, while this is not straightforward for an increase in the stock of appliances).

TABLE 1
Table 1. List of indicators included in the composite indices.

Figure 2A,B illustrates the way in which the indicators were aggregated to calculate the sectoral and dimensional sub-indices and subsequently the composite indices. The different compositions of the sub-indices thus determine the weight of the individual indicators in the calculation of the composite index and thus explain the disparity in the resulting total values. The lack of appropriate social indicators for manufacturing and services implies that in the aggregation by sector the social dimension is underrepresented. A better data availability of (quantitative) social indicators would improve the analysis. Equal weights were used for the calculation of the composite indices [46], i.e., at each stage of the composite index, the indicators/sub-indices are given the same weights (see Figure 2). Alternative weighting methods, each of which has its specific advantages and disadvantages [36], include e.g., statistical models such as principal components analysis, factor analysis or participatory methods that involve stakeholders. We opted for equal weights since this approach is used for many composite indices in the area of sustainable development (e.g., the SDG Index [1]) and can be easily implemented within the framework of this study.

FIGURE 2
Figure 2. Aggregation structure of the composite indices.
Data Sources

Several databases were used to collect the indicators (see Appendix A1 for detailed information on the specification of indicators and data sources used):

In total, nine countries were selected for the detailed assessment of their sustainable energy development based on the indices described above. Apart from Austria, these comprise Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden. We aimed at achieving a balanced mix of countries, i.e., small and large, northern and southern countries, as well as old and new EU Member States. Although the group of countries chosen represents a broad spectrum, the selection was eventually also determined by data availability. To be able to carry out cross-country comparisons we had to make sure that most of the indicators required for the indices were available.

For each country, various analyses were carried out: for the period 2005 to 2015 the sectoral and dimensional sub-indices as well as the composite indices were calculated to assess the trend and degree of sustainability in energy development. In addition, sensitivity analyses were performed; firstly, by using alternative weighting approaches for the aggregation of the indices, secondly, by calculating extended indices for the latest available year (2015), thus broadening the view on the social dimension of sustainable energy development. The dataset used for the analysis can be downloaded at http://clep.wifo.ac.at/ppts/Dataset_Index.xlsx.

DISCUSSION

As described above, for the cross-country comparison (details on selected countries can be found in the Appendices) with the base index over time we chose the “distance to reference country” approach, normalizing the index with the figures for Austria in 2010 to equal 100. The development in the selected countries is measured against this benchmark, i.e., the focus is on how one country performs compared to others.

Figure 3 summarizes the development of the base index aggregated by dimension using equal weights for all indicators. Between 2005 and 2015 the performance measured with the composite index improved for all countries, albeit at different rates. While in 2005 two countries (Denmark, Sweden) ranked higher than Austria, due to different rates of change in 2015, only Denmark shows a higher value than Austria (with Sweden close behind). Although starting from a high level, Denmark managed to significantly improve its performance over time (+17%). In both years France holds the 4th rank. Another group of countries (Germany, Netherlands, Italy, Spain) achieves values that are 8 to 10 points below Austria in both years. Of these countries, Italy shows the largest improvements over time, closing the gap with Germany and the Netherlands. Poland is clearly lagging behind, although it—together with Italy—shows one of the highest increases in the index over time (12%). However, by and large the increase is not sufficient for Poland to catch up with the other EU countries. Another aspect worth noting is the temporal distribution of improvements. In some countries (most notably Denmark, France, Poland, Sweden) the advances in energy sustainability mainly occurred after 2010, while in others (Germany, Austria, Italy) the upward trend was stronger before 2010.

FIGURE 3
Figure 3. Development of base index aggregated by dimension, 2005, 2010 and 2015.

When taking a closer look at the developments in the three dimensions per country (see Figure C1 in Appendix C), it stands out that the strongest dynamic occurs in the environmental dimension, caused by rising shares of renewables and improved CO2 efficiency. Especially Austria, Italy, Denmark, France and Spain improved considerably, although the patterns of change differ among countries. While Austria, for instance, improved quite rapidly until 2010, after that the development stagnated. In contrast, the improvements in Denmark were more consistent over time. Italy and Spain achieved some catching up in the environmental dimension but have still not reached a high level of environmental sustainability in their energy systems. Sweden had the highest environmental sustainability level from the outset and still showed small but consistent improvements. On the other end of the scale, we find countries like Poland, the Netherlands and Spain with low to medium improvements and persistent low levels of environmental sustainability. These developments highlight on the one hand the role played by the availability of renewable resources and their utilization for individual countries (e.g., hydro-power in Sweden and Austria, and wind power in Denmark) as compared to the reliance on fossil resources found in Poland. On the other hand, they underline the importance of ambitious and stable environmental policies, as can be found in the Northern countries and that are characterized by broad societal and political acceptance, a long-term horizon and a rather high degree of integration of environmental or climate policy aspects in other policy areas.

Compared to the environmental dimension, little dynamism can be seen in the economic and social dimensions. In the former, this hints at a lack of significant improvements in energy efficiency—except for Sweden. Sweden definitely stands out with an increase that is twice as high as the one achieved by Denmark, which itself is above average. However, this can be interpreted as a catching up process, as Sweden starts out with a comparably low level of economic sustainability. Again, this can be attributed to the exemplary climate policy ambitions in Denmark and Sweden (the impact of Nordic climate policies has been studied by [47–51]). However, it also points out that, while the deployment of renewables has increased significantly over the decade analyzed, similar improvements regarding energy efficiency or energy saving have not taken place. In order to manage a fundamental energy transition and reach the decarbonization goal, efforts to improve energy efficiency will have to be increased drastically in all sectors.

With respect to the social dimension, improvements are generally modest. Similar developments can be observed in the energy sectors in Austria and Sweden despite differences in total employment. This is mainly due to the dominance of the gender employment gap in the calculation for the energy supply sector (see Table 1)—only one indicator, i.e., “Gender employment gap” is available for the composite index in the social dimension for the Electricity and Heat Supply sector. Four indicators were included in the extended version of the index, in addition to the Gender employment gap indicator: Low wage earners, Median hourly earnings, Fatal incidents and Gender pay gap). While the gender employment gap which measures the difference between the employment rates of men and women aged 20 to 64 for the overall economy in Austria has dropped by about 4.5 percentage points between 2005 and 2015, the gender employment gap in the energy supply sector fluctuated during this period and the value in 2015 is even higher than in 2005. The trend is even clearer when observing the reduction between 2000 and 2018 in the amount of 9.3% [52]. Sweden is currently the only EU member state that has an employment rate above 80% (82.6%); it also provided the highest employment rate for women in 2018 (80.4%) and is listed as number three in the Global Gender Gap Index 2018 [53]. Sweden’s score in the Global Gender Gap Index was 82.2%. The Global Gender Gap Index, first introduced by the World Economic Forum in 2006, measures gender-based disparities using a scale from 0 (disparity) to 1 (parity) across four thematic dimensions—the sub-indexes Economic Participation and Opportunity, Educational Attainment, Health and Survival, and Political Empowerment—and provides country rankings that allow for comparisons tracing their progress over time. Despite imposing performance with one of the lowest gender employment gaps for the overall economy (4.3% in 2018) [54] among the EU member states, the gender employment gap for the electricity supply sector increased significantly in 2015 as compared to 2005. Although Swedish women are well integrated into the labor market and the employment rates for women are almost as high as for men, the labor market is highly segregated, as women are overrepresented in the public sector and part-time employment is more frequent among women [54].

For the sectoral aggregation the overall development of the base index is depicted in Figure 4. The general pattern and positive development conform to the dimensional aggregation. Also, the group of the four best performing countries remains the same as for the aggregation by dimension (Austria, Denmark, France and Sweden). In this case, however, Sweden does not perform as well (rank 4); it shows more of a catching up development. The medium performers consist of three countries (Germany, Italy and Spain), while the Netherlands are closer to Poland, which brings up the rear.

In the sectoral perspective, improvements are generally more moderate. In the residential sector, very little improvement (in terms of efficiencies and share of renewables) can be seen. Interestingly, in this area Sweden shows nearly as low a level of sustainability as Poland. This reflects the large share of electricity in heating (nearly one third, consistently over the whole period) and the below-average improvements in the efficiency of space heating in general. This illustrates the sensitivity of results with respect to the choice of indicators on the one hand. On the other hand, the results reflect the sectoral disaggregation where the share of renewables in electricity generation is accounted for in the sector electricity and heat supply.

In transport, the dynamics are a little bit stronger—France in particular improved considerably. One contributing factor is the Bonus-Malus-Scheme that was introduced in 2008 and that—together with the scrap bonus for old diesel cars and carbon taxation—resulted in reduced energy demand from transport and lower average CO2 emissions of new vehicles [55,56]. In contrast, in Sweden and Germany the sub-index remains largely unchanged. The other countries achieved low to medium continuous improvements (starting from diverging levels of sustainability). The exceptions are Austria (with improvements only until 2010) and Denmark (improvements after 2010).

Industry, in general, shows the strongest positive dynamics of all the sectors. However, the patterns of development differ among the countries. While Austria, the Netherlands and Germany are basically stagnating in terms of industrial sustainability, other countries have improved considerably. Denmark especially has managed to improve further, starting from an already high level of sustainability. This also holds true for Sweden, although from a lower starting level. Countries like Spain and Italy have made good progress in catching up.

The service sector in contrast remains practically unchanged with little to no improvement. The only exceptions are Austria with considerable efficiency improvements and Sweden with continuous but slightly slower progress.

The sub-index for energy supply is also largely stagnating. Only Denmark and Italy have achieved increases in sustainability. Poland and Spain managed some catching up but still remain under average. This leads to the conclusion that the efforts to increase the share of renewables in electricity generation and reduce the CO2 intensity of electricity and heat generation have not yet paid off. While Spain is characterized by fluctuations in emissions intensity, Poland shows no improvements at all in this respect. This is due to the particular circumstances in this country, which still relies heavily on its domestic coal resources (burned in largely outdated power stations) and regards climate policy as a mere compulsory exercise that has to be fulfilled for the EU [57]. However, for countries with high renewables shares from the outset (e.g., Austria or Sweden) significant improvements are difficult to achieve. In other countries there is also strong inertia in the energy market, especially due to a high share of nuclear energy (especially France with a mere increase in the share of renewables in electricity and heat generation of 3%).

FIGURE 4
Figure 4. Development of the composite index aggregated by sector, 2005, 2010 and 2015.
Extending the Database for 2015

For a more comprehensive set of indicators, including data that are not available for the whole period but are regarded as important for assessing sustainable energy development, an extended index was calculated for 2015 only. The additional indicators provide important information for the environmental and social dimensions, such as access to public transport, gender issues and working conditions in the energy supply sector. Again, the sub-indices for dimensions of sustainability and sectors were calculated and subsequently aggregated to compile the composite indices.

Figure 5 compares the results of the extended indices by dimension with the 2015 results using only the indicators from the base index.

FIGURE 5
Figure 5. Comparison of the standard index and the extended composite index. * denotes the results of the MinMax methodology applied to the reduced indicator set of the base index.

The main differences can be summarized as follows: the greater number of social indicators reduces the spread in the index values among countries. It also leads to a decrease in the index values for Austria, Germany and Sweden, reflecting especially high differences in heating costs for different household groups in Austria and Sweden and a poor performance regarding the social indicators for transport for Austria and Germany. Austria also performs only poorly with respect to the newly included indicators for electricity and heat supply, most notably with respect to fatal incidents in the electricity sector and the gender pay gap. This results in a shift in the ranking of countries—Sweden and Austria change places (Austria drops from first to second rank), while Germany loses two positions. In other countries (Italy, Netherlands, Poland) the additional indicators increase the index values. While these three countries are improving in terms of their overall index score, the underlying factors differ substantially. The Netherlands shows relatively high scores with respect to all additional indicators, while Italy receives high scores for the transport-related indicators only, i.e., in terms of the share of alternative drives in newly registered cars, the affordability of cars, and access to public transport. In Poland, heating costs are most evenly distributed among different income groups and the lowest gender pay gap in electricity and heat supply can be observed. This illustrates that composite indices are a good means of describing aggregate developments, though at the cost of losing detailed information.

The first conclusion that can be drawn is that there are no significant changes in the overall ranking of countries or the composition of country groups if only a single year is analyzed (top performers Austria, Denmark, France and Sweden; medium performers Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Spain; tail light Poland) as compared to the results of the base index for 2015. However, the altered composition of the indicator set and the more comprehensive database deliver some changes at the sub-index level.

CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

For the research presented in this paper, we compiled a comprehensive indicator set for two of the 17 SDGs—“Affordable and clean energy” (SDG 7) and “Climate Action” (SDG 13)—and calculated composite indices for nine EU Member States to illustrate their progress toward sustainable energy development over a period of ten years. The advantage of composite indices is the aggregation of a multitude of data (by sector or dimension), which establishes a certain comparability of developments across countries and over time. At the same time, the aggregation of detailed information is the main shortcoming of the composite index because it is not the right tool with which to assess trade-offs and synergies among goals, sub-goals or indicators. The UN Agenda for Sustainable Development emphasizes the need for a universal and integrated approach in implementing the SDGs that accounts for synergies and trade-offs. Still, despite the extensive amount of data collected, our research showed that in order to assess these interdependencies more detailed data would be required. Especially the achievement of goals in the social and environmental dimensions is often regarded as conflicting or even mutually exclusive. However, the impacts of policies on other dimensions depend on the specific policy design and the implementation of accompanying measures, e.g., the regressive effects of environmental taxation. The assessment of synergies and trade-offs in this context is restrained by the lack of quantitative information and indicators, particularly regarding the social dimension.

The analysis of the composite indices for sustainable energy development shows that in general improvements regarding energy efficiency, emissions and deployment of renewables have been moderate between 2005 and 2015. This hints at the time required for restructuring to take place. Some countries showed above average positive developments. These are mainly countries that have a long tradition of ambitious environmental and climate policy-making and are also renowned for their social security systems (e.g., Denmark, Sweden). In contrast, Poland continues to focus its energy policy on coal. Deployment of renewables or emission mitigation is mainly regarded as a necessary exercise to fulfill requirements imposed by the EU. Positive developments, e.g., regarding the increase in renewables, seem to have happened despite, rather than because of, Polish policy-making. In addition, the country and sector comparisons show that each country is characterized by a very specific energy system (complemented by specific social structures) that determines the challenges that must be overcome. Thus, climate and energy policies need be customized to result in a successful strategy for the respective country.

These results, which are complemented by a more detailed policy analysis in selected countries, as described in the Appendices, highlight the importance of a credible political commitment to climate policy targets, the implementation of ambitious instruments and a stable policy framework ensuring investment certainty and predictability for consumers and firms [47,48]. Moreover, policies must be evaluated regularly with respect to their effectiveness and social impacts and must be adapted if necessary.

For evaluations to be feasible, programs have to be designed around quantifiable goals and the required databases have to be provided. Our approach can be regarded as one contribution within the broad field of measurement challenges. It also highlighted the need for new data. Trends such as digitalization, “crowd-work” and “proactive consumers” need to be considered regarding their influence on the quality of work and work-life balance by developing and using appropriate indicators. However, not all relevant aspects can be captured by quantitative indicators. While indicators are important tools for policy evaluation, non-quantifiable issues must also be included in policy evaluation to understand the relationships between policies and outcomes.

Given the defining features of the UN 2030 Sustainable Development Agenda—universality, i.e., that it applies to all countries and all goals, and the interconnectedness between goals and countries—further research is indispensable. So far, policy-making and policy analysis is predominantly fragmented and policies are guided by vested interests. To equilibrate various political targets, a stronger integration of policies is required such that the effects on the respective policy area are reciprocally taken into account in decision-making. It also requires a political “target function” for sustainable development similar to Sweden's intention to become a fossil-fuel free welfare state in order to solve conflicts of interest. Equally important is the availability of data sets, indicators and tools that provide adequate information to assess the progress towards achieving individual goals and sub-goals as defined in the SDGs as well as the synergies and trade-offs that arise in policy implementation.

DATA AVAILABILITY

The dataset used for the analysis can be downloaded at http://clep.wifo.ac.at/ppts/Dataset_Index.xlsx.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

All authors jointly designed the study. CK made the calculations and contributed to the interpretation. The country comparisons were made by DK-S with input from all authors. All authors contributed to writing the paper.

CONFLICTS OF INTEREST

The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.

FUNDING AND ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

This research was funded by the Climate and Energy Funds within the Austrian Climate Research Programme (ACRP). We would like to thank Katharina Köberl for excellent research assistance.

We are very grateful for the valuable comments from three anonymous reviewers.

APPENDICES

APPENDIX A
Appendix A. Indicator specification and data sources.
Appendix B. Country Rankings
APPENDIX B
Table B1. Country ranking by dimension.
APPENDIX B
Table B2. Country ranking by sector.
APPENDIX B
Table B3. Country ranking for extended index.
Appendix C. Country-Specific Development of the Composite Index Aggregated by Dimension
APPENDIX C
Figure C1. Development of composite index aggregated by dimension 2005-2015.
Appendix D. Policy Background on Selected Countries Denmark

Denmark has a long tradition of environmental and climate policies, complementing international agreements with ambitious national targets and corresponding policy instruments. One major example of this is the early introduction of a CO2 tax (1992), which inter alia included differentiated tax rates for industry depending on the energy intensity of the processes applied and which led to energy monitoring, management and energy-saving investments using a kind of “forced volunteerism”. The approach consists of both a voluntary agreement and an Executive Order. If an obligated party refuses to accept a voluntary agreement or to fail to follow the agreed regulations, then the Danish Energy Agency will issue an injunction forcing the obligated party to follow the requirements in an Executive Order, which is largely based on the voluntary agreement. If the obligated party refuses to follow the injunction, then the Danish Energy Agency may issue a fine [58,59]. Not least, the CO2 tax scheme coupled with the energy efficiency agreements resulted in a significant reduction of final energy demand in industry (−16% between 1990 and 2017). The carbon taxation scheme was complemented by other measures like the Energy Efficiency Obligation (EEO) Scheme for energy suppliers, which initially focused on raising awareness of energy savings and later (from 2006 onwards) encompassed the implementation of measures for end users (especially in the building, appliances and industry sectors). Energy Efficiency obligations are described as an obligation by a party (usually final energy suppliers or distribution network operators) to deliver a defined amount of energy savings within a certain period of time. The scheme is based on a voluntary agreement, and currently three gas companies, six oil companies, 74 electricity companies and 417 district heating companies are participating [58]. In most years overachievements of the aspired energy savings were reached. Only in 2013 to 2015 was this not the case, as the targets set in the EEO were raised significantly and the low-cost energy-saving measures had already been implemented or were no longer applicable due to stricter additionality criteria. Therefore, in 2016 the energy- saving targets were again revised downward (to 10.1 PJ/year, corresponding to about 2.5% of final energy demand). Despite its success, the scheme will be discontinued after 2020 and replaced by other approaches.

As another pillar, energy policy focused on the transformation of an electricity system based on fossil fuels into one with a high share of renewables, which was driven by ambitious investments (mainly in wind energy),) but also emphasized the importance of RD&I. Denmark is among the global leaders in the use of energy-efficient technologies, including combined heat and power (CHP), which provides half the electricity and two-thirds the heat needed.

Denmark's energy intensity and carbon intensity are among the lowest of all IEA member countries [60]. Between 2005 and 2015 Denmark managed to reduce primary energy consumption by 14% and final energy consumption by 10% (Eurostat). At the same time, the share of renewable energy in gross final energy consumption nearly doubled from 16% to 31%. Greenhouse gas emissions declined by 25%. All sectors except transport reduced their emissions.

According to IEA (2017) [60] the Danish energy policy is inter alia characterized by:

These elements and the reliance on broad energy agreements have contributed to achieving a high degree of predictability and continuity in energy policy, which in turn has increased investment security for renewable energy or energy efficiency projects. Danish energy policy is defined in Energy Agreements that are revised every five years. The latest was passed in 2018 and includes the pathway to reaching the 2030 climate policy targets. The Energy Agreements include specific sub-targets (e.g., for the development of certain renewables, energy efficiency, etc.) together with particular initiatives, the respective time paths and funding volumes per year. This facilitates the monitoring and evaluation of outcomes and of the effectiveness of policies implemented [61]. In addition, based on the Climate Law passed in 2014, a scientific council on climate change was instated, an energy policy report is submitted annually to parliament and new national climate targets are established each year. The overall objective of the law was to establish a stable framework and give directions towards the 2050 goal of a low carbon society (Danish Energy Agency). A national greenhouse gas reduction target of 40% by 2020 compared to 1990 levels was also approved in Parliament in 2014.

Denmark has set itself national targets that go beyond the EU targets for 2020. Furthermore, it has an ambitious strategy for long-term (2050) emission reduction, renewables and energy efficiency. A broad majority (political as well as societal) supports the 2050 target of an energy system with 100% renewable energy without any reliance on fossil fuels. This political stability, ambitiousness of targets and early implementation of policy instruments have led to significant emission reductions on the one hand and technological leadership on the other. For the future, decarbonization path challenges remain to be tackled [62], particularly concerning further improvements in energy efficiency, decarbonizing transport and actually reaching the 100% renewables in the energy system, including ways to adjust for the variability of wind energy generation and to add flexibility to the heat and power system.

Sweden

Like Denmark, Sweden has a long tradition of ambitious environmental policy-making and early implementation of a carbon tax, which has been the key climate policy instrument since 1991. The CO2 tax is the highest worldwide (currently 120 €/t CO2e) and applies to transport, buildings (heating), industry and agriculture.

The carbon tax combined with other instruments and measures has helped to reduce CO2 emissions by approximately 24% between 1990 and 2015 [63] and also has decreased energy consumption slightly. The taxes have further been supplemented with an electricity certificates system for increasing the share of renewables, technology procurement, public information campaigns, a differentiated annual vehicle tax and investment grants [64] (especially the massive expansion of district heating and the accompanying shifts to biomass as an energy source and to electrification in heating) Sweden has the lowest emission intensity in the EU (both as emissions per unit of GDP and per unit of energy use). Analyses [65–68] show that the carbon tax has been effective in reducing carbon emissions, especially in those sectors that have to pay the full tax rate. Although energy-intensive industries have previously been granted generous tax exemptions and are now exempt from the carbon tax because they participate in the EU ETS, CO2 emissions from manufacturing have been reduced by one third since 1990 and emission intensity has significantly improved.

In general, Swedish climate policy can be regarded as ambitious and the national “integrated climate and energy policy” (2009) went beyond the objectives determined by EU policy. However, the previously planned phase-out of nuclear power was abrogated and the option to replace the reactors at the existing sites was ensured. Nuclear energy plays a significant role in the Swedish energy system because it contributes between 40 and 50% of electricity generation. The 2016 Energy Agreement endorsed the regulation that no forced phase out of the existing nuclear capacity is scheduled [69]. However, Sweden aims for a 100% share of renewables in electricity generation by 2040. The other half comes mainly from hydro power with an increasing share of wind power in recent years (the share of wind power in total electricity generation increased from 1% (2005) to 16% (2015)). Thus, fossil fuels do not play a role in the Swedish electricity sector.

For the long term, Sweden defined four priority targets in the new climate policy framework (2017) and the Climate Act of 2018:

In addition, a Climate Council was installed. The emphasis of the country's climate strategy lies on the use of economic instruments, supplemented with targeted instruments—for example, support for the development and market introduction of technologies and the elimination of barriers to energy efficiency.

In a manner similar to Denmark, Sweden has aimed at aligning its R&D policies with its energy and climate objectives. Research and innovation are strongly focused on the country's strengths in bio-fuels and smart grids [70], and are oriented towards market deployment. There is also a strong involvement of the private sector, both in terms of financing R&D and in formulating strategic plans. Thus, climate-relevant research has received stable public support.

The Swedish Government has adopted the objective to make Sweden one of the world's first fossil-free welfare states. The challenge will mainly lie in achieving the further improvements required, starting from the already high level of energy sustainability.

France

In recent years, France has made good progress in improving its energy efficiency, carbon intensity and decoupling of carbon emissions from economic activity. One key aspect of France's energy system, however, is the large share of nuclear power—on average 76% (2005–2015) of gross electricity generation (Eurostat). Nuclear energy can contribute to reducing greenhouse gas emissions but its compatibility with sustainable development is contested, notably because of problems concerning safety, weapons proliferation, waste handling and high costs [71]. The share of renewables (mainly hydropower) in electricity generation increased in this period, from 10.6% to 16.6%. Electricity generation by coal has been drastically reduced and will be phased out, as is also the case for oil-fired power plants [56]. Between 2005 and 2015, CO2 emissions decreased by 20%. There have been emission reductions in all sectors of the economy. The smallest decrease took place in the transport sector, which is the largest source of CO2 emissions (29%).

Lately, France has increased its efforts towards achieving decarbonization with the development of an integrated energy and climate policy framework for 2030 and has implemented new policies like the carbon tax [72], the Bonus-Malus scheme for vehicles and the Energy Transition tax credit. In particular, the Bonus-Malus scheme for vehicle registration has proven effective in reducing average emissions from passenger cars [55]. The scheme has been modified various times since its introduction in 2008; the rates have been adapted to technological changes and the incentive for purchasing low emission vehicles has been stepped up. In the scheme, bonus payments are granted for electric vehicles (prior to 2017 also for low emission vehicles), which are financed by the revenues from the fees on emission-intensive vehicles [55]. The scheme has been effective, as average vehicle emissions have decreased by 25% since implementation.

The basis for the French national climate and energy policy is the Act on Energy Transition for Green Growth (“La loi relative à la Transition Énergétique pour la Croissance Verte”, LTECV, 2015). The Act obliges energy suppliers and consumers to contribute to reducing GHG emissions while safeguarding economic growth. The national targets foresee in particular:

Two strategic plans were developed for the implementation of the long-term targets and the provision off investment security: the Multiannual Energy Programme 2014–2020 (“Programmation Pluriannuelle de l’Énergie” 2014–2020, PPE) and the national low-carbon strategy ("Stratégie Nationale bas-Carbone", SNBC). The SNBC contains five-year carbon budgets that reflect the targets of the LTECV and specifies policies with which to achieve them. The energy programming covers energy production, energy efficiency, security of supply, and the supply/demand balance for all energy sources.

Sectoral strategies have been adopted for the “Energy Transition: a low carbon mobility strategy” (2016) with measures that focus on the further deployment of electric vehicles with 7 million EV charging points planned for 2030. In the buildings sector, the object is to renovate 500,000 dwellings per year. The renovation of low-income households is targeted specifically under the Better Living Programme. Building codes have been strengthened with the new thermal renovation regulations of 2012. One key aspect is the accelerated deployment of renewables, whose share in electricity supply is projected to rise to 40% by 2030 [73] while at the same time reducing nuclear capacity. In order to achieve this target, it will be necessary to double the growth rates for renewables as compared to the past ten years. Therefore, especially non-economic barriers (like administrative procedures, lack of societal acceptance, grid integration) will have to be overcome [56].

Poland

Defining itself as a “coal country”, Poland is generally not supportive of climate policy targets and seeks to avoid energy system transformations towards more sustainable or decarbonized structures. Poland was the only EU member state who vetoed the Low-Carbon 2050 roadmap and the Energy 2050 Roadmap. Although some progress is apparent in our indicator set and is also attested e.g., by the IEA review [74], Poland’s performance in terms of energy sustainability and compliance with climate policy targets remains under average (compared to the EU average as well as compared to other Central and Eastern European countries).

The energy system continues to rely heavily on coal, which provided around 50% of primary energy supply and 80% of electricity production in 2015 (Eurostat). The further use of the domestic resources of hard coal and lignite (as the cheapest form of energy generation) are a central element of Poland’s energy policy and is also seen as a prerequisite for ensuring security of supply. The combustion of coal is therefore the predominant source of GHG emissions. In addition, the direct and indirect employment related to coal mining is regarded as being of high importance in terms of its social and regional impact. It has to be stated, however, that employment in coal mining decreased by 78% between 1989 and 2015, with further declines thereafter. At the end of 2015 around 90,000 people were directly employed in hard coal mining; by the end of 2016 this number decreased to 84,600 [75,76] representing 0.5% of total employment. Furthermore, despite public subsidies, the sector is suffering huge losses [77].

Nearly two thirds of Poland's coal- fired power plants are more than 30 years old and are highly inefficient. Also, the district heating system, which is one of the largest in Europe, is in need of reinvestments. Given these huge reinvestment requirements, the energy sector is at a crucial point and the strategic decisions with respect to technological choices will determine the country's energy use and emissions for the coming decades. Similarly, the building stock is highly inefficient and in need of comprehensive refurbishment. Change is also needed in the heating systems (in the part of dwellings not covered by district heating) that largely depend on coal.

So far, to preserve the coal-based energy system, significant support has been granted. On the one hand, Poland is one of eight EU member states that are allowed to allocate free ETS allowances to existing fossil power plants until 2019. Although the intention was to help finance the retrofitting and upgrading of infrastructure and the diversification of the energy mix, this measure supports coal-fired power plants. The main support measure benefitting coal-fired electricity generation was the support for biomass, which is largely co-fired in coal power plants and in this case is regarded as a renewable energy source although it is not used independently from its fossil complement [57].

In contrast to the political focus on coal, the data show that Poland has made progress regarding the use of renewable energy sources, with the share in gross final energy consumption increasing from 6.9% (2005) to 11.7% in 2015; in electricity generation the share of renewables rose from 2.7% (2005) to 13.4% (2015). Particularly, wind energy has grown significantly in recent years (from 83 MW to 5100 MW installed capacity between 2005 and 2015), putting Poland at 7th place in the EU regarding installed wind power capacity. However, about half of the increase in renewable generation stems from biomass co-firing in coal power plants.

With several changes in the strategies and legislation concerning renewables, future energy development in Poland is uncertain. Apart from the continuous big role attributed to coal in the medium to long term in the country’s energy strategy (60% in 2030; 50% in 2050) complemented by the plans to invest in new coal-fired power plants as well as in two nuclear power plants, Poland has significantly changed its renewable electricity support scheme. Since 2016, auctions (separate for “technology baskets”) have been carried out, replacing the former scheme based on renewables quotas and green certificates [57]. In this context, the biggest budget is dedicated to so-called “stable sources”, i.e., mainly biomass co-firing. Furthermore, the “Wind Farm Act” of 2016 considerably restricted further deployment of wind power. The Act prohibited building wind turbines within 1.5 to 2 km of buildings or natural conservation areas, thus ruling out 99% of the land. Also, the real estate tax on windmills was raised substantially and stricter control and permitting requirements were passed.

From the current point of view, the transformations in the Polish energy system observed over the past years will slow down as the current policy framework further decreases profitability and investment security for renewables. It seems as though renewables development is not supported as a means of reaching climate policy goals, but only to fulfill requirements imposed on Poland by the EU. Poland seems to be dismissing decarbonization and following its own path, as the energy minister declared in 2016 [78].

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How to Cite This Article

Kettner C, Kletzan-Slamanig D, Köppl A, Littig B, Zielinska I. A Cross-Country Comparison of Sustainable Energy Development in Selected EU Members. J Sustain Res. 2019;1:e190017. https://doi.org/10.20900/jsr20190017

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